Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Spartak Trnava vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
TNV
7 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 9
TNV
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
TNV
4 - 0
STB
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
STB
3 - 1
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1967 |
TNV
1 - 3
TOR
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
AKA
0 - 2
AEK
39%
22%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AEK
0 - 0
AKA
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
JEU
3 - 2
AEK
40%
21%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
AEK
3 - 0
JEU
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
AEK
45%
21%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |