Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 0-4
Spartak Trnava vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
TNV
3 - 1
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
HER
1 - 0
TNV
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
2 - 0
TNV
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TNV
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
GAL
1 - 0
TNV
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
47%
24%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1970 |
KOL
1 - 0
FIO
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
KAI
0 - 0
KOL
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
MSV
0 - 0
KOL
26%
27%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |