FK Smorgon vs Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
FCS
0 - 0
NEM
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BAT
4 - 2
FCS
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
FCS
2 - 1
MIN
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FCS
0 - 0
SLM
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ZOR
1 - 3
FCS
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAT
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MIN
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 2
DNP
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
DAR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
DNM
3 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |