FK Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
16º
13º
42
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 24% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOK
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 2
TOR
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 4
NEM
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FKA
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |