FK Smorgon vs Neman Grodno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SKV
5 - 0
FCS
68%
19%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
BYA
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
REC
2 - 2
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
DNP
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
NEM
1 - 1
SHA
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DNM
1 - 1
NEM
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
NEM
1 - 2
BAT
26%
29%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 1
NEM
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
NEM
1 - 0
BEL
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |