FK Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LID
1 - 3
FCS
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
SHA
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 4
FCS
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
GOM
30%
26%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
FCS
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAF
5 - 0
ORS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 2
NAF
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAF
2 - 2
LID
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 2
NAF
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 4
NAF
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |