FK Smorgon vs Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
12º
28
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FCS
17%
19%
65%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
BAT
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 1
FCS
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 1
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 1
MIN
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
NEM
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
4 - 2
MIN
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
MIN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |