FK Smorgon vs Slutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
16º
15º
32
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 55 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
FCS
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 2
FCS
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 3
SLA
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
ISL
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 5
DNM
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
BAT
6 - 0
FKS
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
NEM
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 4
DIN
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |