FK Smorgon vs Dinamo Brest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
13º
13º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DNM
7 - 0
FCS
78%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
MIN
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ZOR
2 - 4
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
GOM
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
FCS
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Brest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 3
DNM
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 1
DIN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 2
ZOR
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GOM
1 - 4
DIN
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 3
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |