FK Smorgon vs Baranovichi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FKR
1 - 1
FCS
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
SLA
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 0
FCS
48%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
SKV
25%
28%
48%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KLE
4 - 0
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 3
DSK
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 3
FKR
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SLA
3 - 0
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
POL
22%
25%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SKV
6 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | -1 |