Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Skonto Riga vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
FKD
0 - 5
FCS
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
FCS
4 - 1
FCT
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
SKB
0 - 1
FCS
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
JFK
1 - 8
FCS
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FCS
6 - 0
RIG
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
DRO
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
DER
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
DER
6 - 0
BUF
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |