Sioni vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
3º
43
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 62 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 58 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SIO
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 1
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADU
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |