Sioni vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
9º
3º
26
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
DIN
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
5 - 1
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
SFC
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
WIT
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |