Simba vs Tanganyika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
USP
0 - 2
SIM
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 1
SIM
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 0
BFC
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 0
GBA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |