Shukura II vs Varketili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
80.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCM
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 1
SFC
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Varketili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 1
GUR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
MES
1 - 2
RVA
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
RVA
2 - 2
KOL
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BAK
1 - 1
RVA
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 2
SAT
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |