Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 0
SHA
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1998 |
SHA
3 - 1
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
KPT
1 - 0
SHA
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
BIR
0 - 4
SHA
20%
23%
58%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
SHA
2 - 1
BIR
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
LAU
1 - 1
ZUR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
ZUR
0 - 0
GCZ
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 0
SHA
30%
26%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
STG
0 - 0
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |