Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
5 - 0
CHO
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 0
AIK
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 2
SLP
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 2
FCK
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
5 - 2
BEN
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VER
0 - 1
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ROM
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |