Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
2º
13
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
26% | 5.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 72% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 5
SHA
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
SHA
44%
23%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
0 - 1
SHA
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
FED
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 4
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
LNZ
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |