Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
SHA
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
SHA
1 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BUD
2 - 3
SHA
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MON
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
MON
3 - 0
ASN
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
LEN
0 - 3
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
MON
2 - 2
PSG
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 2
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |