Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 4-2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
SHA
2 - 1
PFC
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
DYN
2 - 2
SHA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
SHA
5 - 1
HOV
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2001 |
MED
1 - 3
SHA
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2001 |
NYV
0 - 7
SHA
13%
20%
68%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
LUG
5 - 3
GCZ
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
SIO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
SIO
2 - 1
LUG
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |