Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-3
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHF
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
KPT
1 - 2
SHA
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
0 - 0
SHA
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
2 - 0
TAV
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
BOR
0 - 1
SHA
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 0
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 5
LOK
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 0
ROT
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 1
LOK
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 3
CSK
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |