Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 3-4
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lillestrom SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1994 |
MFK
1 - 6
SHA
21%
28%
52%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1994 |
SHA
4 - 0
FKT
68%
22%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
LSK
4 - 1
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
KRY
0 - 0
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
SHA
3 - 0
SIF
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1994 |
LSK
2 - 2
IKS
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
STR
0 - 2
LSK
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
LSK
4 - 1
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
LSK
3 - 1
BBS
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
RBK
3 - 1
LSK
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |