Europa League Last 16
Global 1-3
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BUD
2 - 3
SHA
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
SHA
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
JUV
0 - 2
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
21%
26%
54%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 1
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 3
JUV
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |