Europa League 1/16
Global 6-2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
SHA
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BUD
1 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
INT
0 - 1
BUD
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
SGD
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
BUD
2 - 2
SGD
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
BUD
1 - 1
BOH
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |