Europa League 1/32
Global 4-1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
3 - 0
ERF
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
FCU
1 - 0
BFC
25%
27%
47%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BFC
2 - 2
ZWI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 3
BFC
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
BFC
6 - 0
LOK
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |