Shakhtar Donetsk vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
3 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 0
FCV
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
PFC
2 - 2
SHA
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 0
KOL
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
DES
2 - 4
SHA
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
EIN
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 4
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
STG
0 - 5
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |