Shakhtar Donetsk vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
OBO
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 1
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
1 - 3
SHA
32%
24%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
KPT
1 - 0
SHA
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 1
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 1
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 1
GET
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
16%
21%
64%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |