Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
SHA
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
SHA
1 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BUD
2 - 3
SHA
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
SLA
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
SHA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
FCB
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
RAC
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |