Europa League 1/64
Global 2-5
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SHA
3 - 1
MED
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
PFC
0 - 1
SHA
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AUS
5 - 1
SHA
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
SHA
2 - 1
OBO
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VOR
1 - 2
SHA
18%
23%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
AUS
3 - 1
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
RIE
1 - 1
AUS
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AUS
5 - 1
SHA
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
AUS
3 - 0
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
3 - 1
AUS
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |