Shakhtar Donetsk vs Arsenal Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MED
2 - 1
SHA
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ZOR
0 - 2
SHA
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SHA
2 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MED
0 - 1
SHA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 0
VOR
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 0
VOR
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 0
HOV
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KPT
3 - 3
ARS
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 1
DNI
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OBO
0 - 0
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |