Serrieres Neuchatel vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrieres Neuchatel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 1
SEN
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 2
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
SEN
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SEN
4 - 0
FCB
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 3
SEN
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
MOU
4 - 0
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 3
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 4
MOU
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOU
0 - 0
TAV
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |