AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
FC Seoul vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Seoul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
3 - 0
DCI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UMM
3 - 2
FCS
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 1
JEO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SEO
1 - 0
FCS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 2
ULS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UMM
3 - 2
FCS
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
WAK
3 - 2
UMM
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UMM
0 - 5
SAA
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
UMM
2 - 0
KHO
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
ALH
0 - 0
UMM
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |