AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 3-3
FC Seoul vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Seoul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 2
ULS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
SUW
2 - 0
FCS
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
INC
0 - 0
FCS
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
FCS
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 0
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
QIN
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LIA
1 - 1
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 4
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 0
KAR
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 0
HAN
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |