Seclin vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 0
USB
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
USB
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
46%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
USB
2 - 5
PSG
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |