Rotkreuz vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
16º
14º
13
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 0
RTK
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
RTK
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RTK
0 - 1
SOL
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
THU
2 - 2
RTK
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RTK
1 - 1
WOH
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
0 - 2
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
3 - 2
CON
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 2
MUT
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 1
GRA
36%
22%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 2
MUT
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |