Rothorn vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 2
RTK
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 3
LUG
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
IBA
1 - 0
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 4
TAV
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
PER
2 - 4
FCS
37%
22%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |