FC Reipas Lahti vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
2º
28
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
FCR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
5 - 0
MYP
67%
18%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
NJS
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
FCR
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
PPJ
0 - 1
FCR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 5
KUO
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
0 - 1
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |