FC Reipas Lahti vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
9º
5º
30
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
5 - 1
FCK
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAP
7 - 0
FCR
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JIP
2 - 1
FCR
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
0 - 3
FCR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
3 - 0
FCK
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEP
0 - 0
MIK
26%
22%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 2
KOO
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEP
3 - 3
JIP
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 1
MIK
24%
21%
55%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
PEP
60%
20%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |