Quarouble vs Choisy au Bac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choisy au Bac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 4
ESW
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHO
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 1
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 4
FEI
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 1
CHO
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |