Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
17%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 1
MUD
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 2
FCP
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 1
VST
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
VST
2 - 0
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |