Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
EST
2 - 4
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CIN
1 - 4
FCP
2%
12%
86%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
ARS
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 2
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VST
0 - 1
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
VST
0 - 3
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 2
VST
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |