Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
VST
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |