Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 2
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
UDL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
0 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
7 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VST
0 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VST
2 - 2
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 1
VST
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
VST
6 - 1
JOA
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |