Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
51%
23%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
46%
24%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
VST
2 - 2
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
BMA
1 - 2
VST
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
VST
1 - 1
LEX
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |