Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 2
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
77%
15%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
VST
3 - 1
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
VST
6 - 2
CDM
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FAB
2 - 1
VST
32%
29%
40%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 0
VST
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
VST
1 - 0
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |