Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCP
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
FCP
4 - 1
SAN
84%
11%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAB
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
VST
0 - 2
JUV
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
VST
1 - 2
SPB
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
JUV
3 - 1
VST
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VST
0 - 2
ATL
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |