Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 0
SFP
77%
14%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SPB
0 - 0
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LEX
2 - 3
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1965 |
SFP
0 - 0
FCP
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
FAB
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
VST
58%
21%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VIT
4 - 1
VST
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |