Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.5%
8.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 3
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATL
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
BEL
4 - 3
FCP
52%
21%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
CAL
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SCP
4 - 0
VST
87%
9%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |