Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 3
FCP
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
2 - 1
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
42%
21%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
VST
2 - 5
SCP
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
SPB
5 - 0
VST
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
51%
22%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
VST
3 - 1
FAB
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |