Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
31%
21%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ATL
4 - 1
FCP
43%
22%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
4 - 0
VST
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VST
1 - 3
SCP
18%
19%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
VST
2 - 1
OLH
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |